Back to UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Mana Martinez vs Ronnie Lawrence

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 ·Toyota Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Mana Martinez
Ronnie Lawrence
47% 53%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
11-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
9-2
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Martinez: 39 sig / 0 TD · Lawrence: 46 sig / 6 TD
Mana Martinez
Ronnie Lawrence
43
Sig strikes landed
47
95
Sig strikes attempted
101
61
Total strikes landed
57
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.3
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
66s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
43%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Mana Martinez

"ManaBoi"
11-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
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Blue corner
W1

Ronnie Lawrence

"The Heat"
9-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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