Back to UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Carlos Ulberg vs Fabio Cherant

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 ·Toyota Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Carlos Ulberg
Fabio Cherant
82% 18%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
15-2
Career record
Δ 30 pp
7-5
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ulberg: 66 sig / 2 TD · Cherant: 13 sig / 0 TD
Carlos Ulberg
Fabio Cherant
46
Sig strikes landed
50
52
Sig strikes attempted
81
90
Total strikes landed
41
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
218s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Carlos Ulberg

"Black Jag"
15-2
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
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Blue corner
L2

Fabio Cherant

"Water Buffalo"
7-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
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