Back to UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Kyler Phillips vs Marcelo Rojo

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 ·Toyota Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Kyler Phillips
Marcelo Rojo
74% 26%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
27
Age
Δ 7y
34
12-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
16-11
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Phillips: 80 sig / 3 TD · Rojo: 55 sig / 0 TD
Kyler Phillips
Marcelo Rojo
73
Sig strikes landed
52
160
Sig strikes attempted
132
89
Total strikes landed
68
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
138s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Kyler Phillips

"The Matrix"
12-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
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W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
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W UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Marcelo Rojo

"Pitbull"
16-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
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