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Dakota Bush vs Viacheslav Borshchev

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dakota Bush
Viacheslav Borshchev
71% 29%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Bush: 11 sig / 2 TD · Borshchev: 16 sig / 0 TD
Dakota Bush
Viacheslav Borshchev
39
Sig strikes landed
42
97
Sig strikes attempted
92
51
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dakota Bush

8-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
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Blue corner

Viacheslav Borshchev

"Slava Claus"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30