Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michel Pereira
Andre Fialho
78%
22%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
W3
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pereira: 107 sig / 1 TD ·
Fialho: 45 sig / 0 TD
Michel Pereira
Andre Fialho
58
Sig strikes landed
36
103
Sig strikes attempted
86
70
Total strikes landed
48
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
33-14
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
Blue corner
Andre Fialho
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28