🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
·Honda Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brandon Moreno
Deiveson Figueiredo
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
24-10-2
Career record
Δ 7 pp
25-8-1
W1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Moreno: 105 sig / 1 TD ·
Figueiredo: 86 sig / 2 TD
Brandon Moreno
Deiveson Figueiredo
47
Sig strikes landed
46
106
Sig strikes attempted
98
60
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.70
135s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
24-10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
11 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
D
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
Blue corner
L1
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
25-8-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 9-2
Last 5
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
D
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—