Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Raoni Barcelos
Victor Henry
52%
48%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
35
Age
35
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barcelos: 134 sig / 1 TD ·
Henry: 181 sig / 0 TD
Raoni Barcelos
Victor Henry
54
Sig strikes landed
39
106
Sig strikes attempted
100
79
Total strikes landed
52
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
182s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Raoni Barcelos
22-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
Victor Henry
"La Mangosta"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
35