🏆 Title fight
Main
Heavyweight
Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
·Honda Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Francis Ngannou
Ciryl Gane
61%
39%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 2"
81"
35
Age
Δ 4y
32
18-3
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-2
W5
Current streak
W7
13
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Ngannou: 43 sig / 4 TD ·
Gane: 63 sig / 1 TD
Francis Ngannou
Ciryl Gane
49
Sig strikes landed
52
99
Sig strikes attempted
74
56
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
115s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Francis Ngannou
"The Predator"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
13 fights · 11-2
Last 5
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
Blue corner
W7
Ciryl Gane
"Bon Gamin"
14-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 7-0
Last 5
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—