Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jonas Bilharinho
Canaan Kawaihae
64%
36%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
32
Age
Δ 7y
24
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Bilharinho: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Kawaihae: 47 sig / 0 TD
Jonas Bilharinho
Canaan Kawaihae
39
Sig strikes landed
36
69
Sig strikes attempted
63
54
Total strikes landed
42
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
-0.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.70
162s
Control time
38s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jonas Bilharinho
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
Blue corner
L1
Canaan Kawaihae
6-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 2.6
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