Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Yohan Lainesse
Justin Burlinson
53%
47%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 5y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lainesse: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Burlinson: 2 sig / 0 TD
Yohan Lainesse
Justin Burlinson
36
Sig strikes landed
35
78
Sig strikes attempted
75
57
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Yohan Lainesse
"White Lion"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Justin Burlinson
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
25