Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alex Morono
Mickey Gall
76%
24%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
25-13
Career record
Δ 12 pp
8-7
W2
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Morono: 90 sig / 0 TD ·
Gall: 65 sig / 0 TD
Alex Morono
Mickey Gall
58
Sig strikes landed
39
112
Sig strikes attempted
105
71
Total strikes landed
42
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
130s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
14 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
W1
Mickey Gall
8-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—