Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Maki Pitolo
Dusko Todorovic
46%
54%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
31
Age
Δ 4y
28
13-10
Career record
Δ 8 pp
13-7
L3
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pitolo: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Todorovic: 30 sig / 1 TD
Maki Pitolo
Dusko Todorovic
44
Sig strikes landed
53
100
Sig strikes attempted
106
61
Total strikes landed
70
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
160s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Maki Pitolo
"Coconut Bombz"
13-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
L
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
L2
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—