Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Sijara Eubanks vs Melissa Gatto

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sijara Eubanks
Melissa Gatto
29% 71%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
37
Age
Δ 11y
26
9-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
10-3-2
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Eubanks: 14 sig / 1 TD · Gatto: 17 sig / 0 TD
Sijara Eubanks
Melissa Gatto
47
Sig strikes landed
66
126
Sig strikes attempted
140
64
Total strikes landed
88
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
205s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Sijara Eubanks

"SarJ"
9-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
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L UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
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W UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
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W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
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Blue corner
W1

Melissa Gatto

10-3-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
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