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Prelims1 Featherweight

Charles Jourdain vs Andre Ewell

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Charles Jourdain
Andre Ewell
79% 21%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
75"
26
Age
Δ 8y
34
18-9-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
8

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jourdain: 137 sig / 0 TD · Ewell: 56 sig / 1 TD
Charles Jourdain
Andre Ewell
74
Sig strikes landed
69
160
Sig strikes attempted
166
85
Total strikes landed
75
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
61s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Charles Jourdain

"Air"
18-9-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database 6 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
W UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
D UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
L UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
W UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
Blue corner
L2

Andre Ewell

"Mr. Highlight"
17-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
L UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
W UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
L UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…