Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Lemos
Angela Hill
76%
24%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
35
Age
Δ 2y
37
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 17 pp
19-17
W4
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Lemos: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Hill: 48 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Lemos
Angela Hill
71
Sig strikes landed
52
133
Sig strikes attempted
100
88
Total strikes landed
68
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
85s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Amanda Lemos
16-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
Blue corner
L1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
18 fights · 8-10
Last 5
L
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—