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Prelims1 Featherweight

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke vs Sean Soriano

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Sean Soriano
94% 6%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
28
Age
Δ 5y
32
39-13
Career record
Δ 14 pp
14-9
L1
Current streak
L4
1
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nuerdanbieke: 17 sig / 4 TD · Soriano: 35 sig / 2 TD
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Sean Soriano
26
Sig strikes landed
28
55
Sig strikes attempted
52
63
Total strikes landed
51
2.3
Takedowns landed
1.8
5.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
300s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
39%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

"Wolverine"
39-13
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
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Blue corner
L4

Sean Soriano

14-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 0-4
Last 4
L UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
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L UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
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L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
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L UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
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