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Prelims1 Featherweight

Sean Woodson vs Collin Anglin

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sean Woodson
Collin Anglin
78% 22%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 7"
71"
29
Age
Δ 1y
29
14-2-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
8-4
W1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Woodson: 50 sig / 0 TD · Anglin: 8 sig / 0 TD
Sean Woodson
Collin Anglin
48
Sig strikes landed
38
102
Sig strikes attempted
91
66
Total strikes landed
48
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
79s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Sean Woodson

"The Sniper"
14-2-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
W UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
Blue corner
L1

Collin Anglin

8-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…