Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Cortney Casey vs Liana Jojua

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Cortney Casey
Liana Jojua
39% 61%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 5"
62"
34
Age
Δ 8y
27
10-11
Career record
Δ 10 pp
8-6
L2
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Casey: 89 sig / 0 TD · Jojua: 34 sig / 2 TD
Cortney Casey
Liana Jojua
50
Sig strikes landed
41
116
Sig strikes attempted
101
66
Total strikes landed
54
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
91s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
41%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Cortney Casey

"Cast Iron"
10-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 13 fights · 5-8
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
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L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
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W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
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L UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
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Blue corner
L1

Liana Jojua

"She Wolf"
8-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
L UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—