Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Cynthia Calvillo vs Andrea Lee
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cynthia Calvillo
Andrea Lee
53%
47%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
33
9-7-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-11
L2
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Calvillo: 47 sig / 1 TD ·
Lee: 84 sig / 0 TD
Cynthia Calvillo
Andrea Lee
61
Sig strikes landed
67
148
Sig strikes attempted
147
82
Total strikes landed
85
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
147s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Cynthia Calvillo
9-7-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
Blue corner
W1
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
14-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—