Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Main Women's Featherweight

Felicia Spencer vs Leah Letson

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Felicia Spencer
Leah Letson
62% 38%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
9-4
Career record
Δ 3 pp
6-3
L2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Spencer: 56 sig / 4 TD · Letson: 17 sig / 1 TD
Felicia Spencer
Leah Letson
51
Sig strikes landed
49
114
Sig strikes attempted
120
112
Total strikes landed
72
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
222s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Felicia Spencer

"FeeNom"
9-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
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L UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
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W UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
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L UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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Blue corner
W1

Leah Letson

"Nidas"
6-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
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