Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kolton Englund
Manuel Torres
31%
69%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
28
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Englund: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Torres: 25 sig / 0 TD
Kolton Englund
Manuel Torres
33
Sig strikes landed
42
73
Sig strikes attempted
86
44
Total strikes landed
60
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
102s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kolton Englund
"White Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Manuel Torres
"El Loco"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
27