Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yan Qihui
Karine Silva
76%
24%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Qihui: 27 sig / 2 TD ·
Silva: 12 sig / 0 TD
Yan Qihui
Karine Silva
44
Sig strikes landed
36
87
Sig strikes attempted
87
75
Total strikes landed
67
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
180s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Yan Qihui
"Queen Kong"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Karine Silva
"Killer"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28