Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Oron Kahlon
Javid Basharat
47%
53%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
37
Age
Δ 11y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Kahlon: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Basharat: 70 sig / 3 TD
Oron Kahlon
Javid Basharat
36
Sig strikes landed
38
72
Sig strikes attempted
78
51
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
148s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Oron Kahlon
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
Blue corner
Javid Basharat
"The Snow Leopard"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26