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Main Bantamweight

Xiao Long vs Cristian Quinonez

DWCS 5.9 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Xiao Long
Cristian Quinonez
66% 34%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
24
Age
Δ 2y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Long: 78 sig / 0 TD · Quinonez: 76 sig / 1 TD
Xiao Long
Cristian Quinonez
38
Sig strikes landed
36
82
Sig strikes attempted
80
55
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
125s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Xiao Long

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Cristian Quinonez

"Problema"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26