Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jordan Wright
Bruno Silva
50%
50%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
13-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-13
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Wright: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 19 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Wright
Bruno Silva
34
Sig strikes landed
23
57
Sig strikes attempted
50
37
Total strikes landed
33
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
64s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jordan Wright
"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
13-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
Blue corner
W2
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
24-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—