Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andre Muniz
Eryk Anders
77%
23%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
25-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-9
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Muniz: 8 sig / 2 TD ·
Anders: 3 sig / 0 TD
Andre Muniz
Eryk Anders
31
Sig strikes landed
28
64
Sig strikes attempted
62
44
Total strikes landed
42
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
115s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Andre Muniz
"Sergipano"
25-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
19-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—