Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Josh Emmett
Dan Ige
58%
42%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
37
Age
Δ 6y
30
20-7
Career record
Δ 13 pp
19-12
W3
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Emmett: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Ige: 70 sig / 1 TD
Josh Emmett
Dan Ige
62
Sig strikes landed
60
152
Sig strikes attempted
145
73
Total strikes landed
76
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
112s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Josh Emmett
20-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
Blue corner
L1
Dan Ige
"100K"
19-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—