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Chris Duncan vs Viacheslav Borshchev

DWCS 5.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chris Duncan
Viacheslav Borshchev
83% 17%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
28
Age
Δ 1y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Duncan: 36 sig / 2 TD · Borshchev: 41 sig / 0 TD
Chris Duncan
Viacheslav Borshchev
40
Sig strikes landed
33
80
Sig strikes attempted
72
56
Total strikes landed
40
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
172s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Chris Duncan

"The Problem"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Viacheslav Borshchev

"Slava Claus"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30