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Main Heavyweight

Lorenzo Hood vs Martin Buday

DWCS 5.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Lorenzo Hood
Martin Buday
44% 56%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hood: 13 sig / 0 TD · Buday: 23 sig / 0 TD
Lorenzo Hood
Martin Buday
33
Sig strikes landed
38
65
Sig strikes attempted
71
47
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
110s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Lorenzo Hood

"Dream Killer"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
Blue corner

Martin Buday

"Badys"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30