Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Reyes Cortez Jr.
Christian Rodriguez
39%
61%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
29
Age
Δ 5y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cortez Jr.: 47 sig / 2 TD ·
Rodriguez: 78 sig / 0 TD
Reyes Cortez Jr.
Christian Rodriguez
33
Sig strikes landed
39
73
Sig strikes attempted
82
44
Total strikes landed
58
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
115s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Reyes Cortez Jr.
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24