Back to UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Main Light Heavyweight

Nicolae Negumereanu vs Ike Villanueva

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nicolae Negumereanu
Ike Villanueva
85% 15%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 5"
73"
27
Age
Δ 10y
38
14-2
Career record
Δ 33 pp
18-15
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Negumereanu: 11 sig / 0 TD · Villanueva: 7 sig / 0 TD
Nicolae Negumereanu
Ike Villanueva
41
Sig strikes landed
33
83
Sig strikes attempted
75
61
Total strikes landed
43
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Nicolae Negumereanu

14-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
Blue corner
L1

Ike Villanueva

"Hurricane"
18-15
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—