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Prelims1 Middleweight

JunYong Park vs Gregory Rodrigues

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
JunYong Park
Gregory Rodrigues
55% 45%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
20-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
20-6
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Park: 56 sig / 0 TD · Rodrigues: 68 sig / 2 TD
JunYong Park
Gregory Rodrigues
54
Sig strikes landed
58
131
Sig strikes attempted
130
75
Total strikes landed
77
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
173s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

JunYong Park

"The Iron Turtle"
20-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
W UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
L UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
Blue corner
W1

Gregory Rodrigues

"Robocop"
20-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…