Back to UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Prelims1 Middleweight

Jamie Pickett vs Laureano Staropoli

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jamie Pickett
Laureano Staropoli
45% 55%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
33
Age
Δ 4y
29
13-12
Career record
Δ 8 pp
9-6
L2
Current streak
L3
2
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pickett: 47 sig / 2 TD · Staropoli: 25 sig / 1 TD
Jamie Pickett
Laureano Staropoli
40
Sig strikes landed
43
98
Sig strikes attempted
110
55
Total strikes landed
57
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
115s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jamie Pickett

"The Night Wolf"
13-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
Blue corner
L3

Laureano Staropoli

"Pepi"
9-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—