Back to UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
Main Women's Flyweight

Manon Fiorot vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Manon Fiorot
Mayra Bueno Silva
77% 23%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
14-2
Career record
Δ 35 pp
10-7-2
W2
Current streak
D1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fiorot: 91 sig / 2 TD · Bueno Silva: 48 sig / 0 TD
Manon Fiorot
Mayra Bueno Silva
50
Sig strikes landed
41
112
Sig strikes attempted
101
69
Total strikes landed
56
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
140s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Manon Fiorot

"The Beast"
14-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
Blue corner
D1

Mayra Bueno Silva

"Sheetara"
10-7-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 2-1
Last 4
D UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
W UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…