Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nate Landwehr
Ludovit Klein
22%
78%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
33
Age
Δ 7y
27
18-9
Career record
Δ 11 pp
24-6-1
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Landwehr: 71 sig / 1 TD ·
Klein: 42 sig / 0 TD
Nate Landwehr
Ludovit Klein
30
Sig strikes landed
36
67
Sig strikes attempted
79
39
Total strikes landed
55
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
43s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nate Landwehr
"The Train"
18-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ludovit Klein
"Mr. Highlight"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—