Main
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Ankalaev vs Volkan Oezdemir
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Magomed Ankalaev
Volkan Oezdemir
78%
22%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
22-2-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
21-9
W6
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ankalaev: 66 sig / 1 TD ·
Oezdemir: 48 sig / 0 TD
Magomed Ankalaev
Volkan Oezdemir
42
Sig strikes landed
33
87
Sig strikes attempted
71
63
Total strikes landed
42
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
184s
Control time
30s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Magomed Ankalaev
22-2-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—