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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Amanda Ribas vs Virna Jandiroba

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Amanda Ribas
Virna Jandiroba
36% 64%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
13-8
Career record
Δ 24 pp
24-4
L1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ribas: 88 sig / 1 TD · Jandiroba: 50 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Ribas
Virna Jandiroba
34
Sig strikes landed
35
84
Sig strikes attempted
78
65
Total strikes landed
64
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
180s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
42%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Amanda Ribas

13-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
W UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
W UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
W UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
W UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
Blue corner
W1

Virna Jandiroba

"Carcara"
24-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
L UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
W UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…