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🏆 Title fight Main Bantamweight

Petr Yan vs Cory Sandhagen

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Petr Yan
Cory Sandhagen
75% 25%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
20-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-7
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Yan: 149 sig / 0 TD · Sandhagen: 169 sig / 1 TD
Petr Yan
Cory Sandhagen
85
Sig strikes landed
84
166
Sig strikes attempted
234
117
Total strikes landed
95
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
132s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Petr Yan

"No Mercy"
20-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
L UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
W UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
W UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
W UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
Blue corner
L1

Cory Sandhagen

18-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
W UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
L UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
W UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2