🏆 Title fight
Main
Light Heavyweight
Jan Blachowicz vs Glover Teixeira
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jan Blachowicz
Glover Teixeira
53%
47%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
39
Age
Δ 3y
42
30-11-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
34-9
W5
Current streak
W5
16
UFC fights in our DB
20
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Blachowicz: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Teixeira: 23 sig / 2 TD
Jan Blachowicz
Glover Teixeira
61
Sig strikes landed
54
125
Sig strikes attempted
106
78
Total strikes landed
74
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.1
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
86s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Jan Blachowicz
30-11-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
Blue corner
W5
Glover Teixeira
34-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database
20 fights · 15-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—