Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kleydson Rodrigues
Santo Curatolo
61%
39%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
62"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodrigues: 91 sig / 0 TD ·
Curatolo: 21 sig / 2 TD
Kleydson Rodrigues
Santo Curatolo
38
Sig strikes landed
33
80
Sig strikes attempted
68
50
Total strikes landed
46
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
145s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kleydson Rodrigues
"KR"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Santo Curatolo
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27