Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Steven Nguyen
Theo Rlayang
67%
33%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 8"
65"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nguyen: 126 sig / 0 TD ·
Rlayang: 89 sig / 2 TD
Steven Nguyen
Theo Rlayang
48
Sig strikes landed
68
133
Sig strikes attempted
151
64
Total strikes landed
96
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.4
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
76s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Steven Nguyen
"The Ninja"
10-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 3.6
—
Blue corner
Theo Rlayang
"Jungle King"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27