Prelims1
Middleweight
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Nassourdine Imavov
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Edmen Shahbazyan
Nassourdine Imavov
54%
46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
16-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
18-4
L2
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shahbazyan: 22 sig / 1 TD ·
Imavov: 42 sig / 0 TD
Edmen Shahbazyan
Nassourdine Imavov
33
Sig strikes landed
42
74
Sig strikes attempted
83
44
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
Blue corner
W1
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
18-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—