Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Antonina Shevchenko vs Casey O'Neill
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Antonina Shevchenko
Casey O'Neill
21%
79%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
37
Age
Δ 13y
24
10-5
Career record
Δ 19 pp
12-2
L1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shevchenko: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
O'Neill: 52 sig / 3 TD
Antonina Shevchenko
Casey O'Neill
34
Sig strikes landed
46
63
Sig strikes attempted
93
61
Total strikes landed
74
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
118s
Control time
260s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
44%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
10-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
Blue corner
W2
Casey O'Neill
"King"
12-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—