Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Montel Jackson
JP Buys
79%
21%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 8"
67"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
16-4
Career record
Δ 24 pp
9-7
W1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jackson: 25 sig / 4 TD ·
Buys: 8 sig / 1 TD
Montel Jackson
JP Buys
37
Sig strikes landed
14
65
Sig strikes attempted
39
57
Total strikes landed
29
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
2.30
Knockdowns
0.00
228s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
16-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
Blue corner
L1
JP Buys
"Young Savage"
9-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—