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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Pannie Kianzad vs Raquel Pennington

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Pannie Kianzad
Raquel Pennington
64% 36%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
18-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-10
W4
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
13

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kianzad: 50 sig / 1 TD · Pennington: 48 sig / 1 TD
Pannie Kianzad
Raquel Pennington
71
Sig strikes landed
71
145
Sig strikes attempted
155
97
Total strikes landed
99
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
93s
Control time
202s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Pannie Kianzad

"Banzai"
18-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
L UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Blue corner
W1

Raquel Pennington

"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
L UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
L UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington