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Main Welterweight

Ange Loosa vs Jack Della Maddalena

DWCS 5.3 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ange Loosa
Jack Della Maddalena
31% 69%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
28
Age
Δ 4y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Loosa: 64 sig / 1 TD · Della Maddalena: 108 sig / 0 TD
Ange Loosa
Jack Della Maddalena
33
Sig strikes landed
42
72
Sig strikes attempted
83
46
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
95s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ange Loosa

"The Last Ninja"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner

Jack Della Maddalena

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
25