Main
Light Heavyweight
Modestas Bukauskas vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Modestas Bukauskas
Khalil Rountree Jr.
77%
23%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
20-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
15-8
L2
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bukauskas: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Rountree Jr.: 38 sig / 0 TD
Modestas Bukauskas
Khalil Rountree Jr.
33
Sig strikes landed
29
71
Sig strikes attempted
75
43
Total strikes landed
38
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.60
57s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
Blue corner
L2
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—