Back to UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Main Middleweight

Andre Petroski vs Micheal Gillmore

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Andre Petroski
Micheal Gillmore
76% 24%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Petroski: 46 sig / 4 TD · Gillmore: 31 sig / 0 TD
Andre Petroski
Micheal Gillmore
38
Sig strikes landed
32
79
Sig strikes attempted
69
55
Total strikes landed
41
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
155s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Andre Petroski

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner

Micheal Gillmore

"The Gentleman"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34