Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kevin Lee
Daniel Rodriguez
57%
43%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
18-9
Career record
Δ 14 pp
21-5
L1
Current streak
W2
17
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lee: 56 sig / 3 TD ·
Rodriguez: 120 sig / 0 TD
Kevin Lee
Daniel Rodriguez
59
Sig strikes landed
70
143
Sig strikes attempted
131
78
Total strikes landed
78
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.8
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
173s
Control time
25s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
17 fights · 11-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
Blue corner
W2
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
21-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—