Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
CJ Vergara
Bruno Korea
81%
19%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
30
Age
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Vergara: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Korea: 3 sig / 0 TD
CJ Vergara
Bruno Korea
44
Sig strikes landed
45
102
Sig strikes attempted
96
60
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
162s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
CJ Vergara
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Bruno Korea
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Age
30